Track record · closed signal

General Electric Company (GE) — closed signal from September 1, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 30, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

GE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$274.55 Published $323.20 Target $298.11 Window close $316.31 Peak
$270.72 – $276.69Entry zone — fair-value band
$274.55Published — price the day we called it
$323.20Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$316.31Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$298.11Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Hit or exceeded the predicted growth inside the window.

Peak price
$316.31
peak on October 28, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+15.2%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$298.11
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
Window
September 1, 2025 – November 30, 2025

The thesis — published September 1, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$323.20
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$270.72 – $276.69
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$274.55
published September 1, 2025
Confidence
62%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

GE's jet engine service business generates steady cash, and its work on smarter power grids and AI remote patient care opens new growth paths. Research suggests North America's smart grid market could triple by 2034, and GE Healthcare is viewed as a leader in remote care tools. The stock has cooled and may stabilize, fitting gradual buying. Risks include softer air travel and supply snags; a move toward recent highs looks possible.

Primary drivers

  • Strong cash from maintaining and servicing airplane engines
  • Multi-year growth expected in smarter power grid projects
  • Leading AI tools for remote patient monitoring in healthcare
  • Recent price tone improving, making staged buying more sensible

How it played out

GE: target missed after 15.2% peak gain

Lyra published GE on 2025-09-01 at $274.55 for a short-term window through 2025-11-30. The thesis expected 18% growth and pointed to steady cash from airplane engine service, smarter power grid projects, remote patient monitoring tools, and an improving recent price tone.

The stock rose, but it did not reach the $323.20 target. Its peak was $316.31 on 2025-10-28, a 15.2% gain. It ended the window at $298.11. The thesis partially played out because the move was strong, but the published target was missed.

What happened during the window

On 2025-10-21, GE Aerospace reported third-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.66 per share and revenue of $12.2 billion, and raised its full-year outlook. MarketWatch also reported on 2025-10-21 that revenue rose 23.8% to $12.18 billion and that full-year EPS guidance was raised to $6.00 to $6.20.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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