Track record · closed signal

Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) — closed signal from September 1, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 30, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

CDE price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$13.15 Published $17.75 Target $17.27 Window close $23.62 Peak
$12.75 – $13.25Entry zone — fair-value band
$13.15Published — price the day we called it
$17.75Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$23.62Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$17.27Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 21 days.

Peak price
$23.62
peak on October 16, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+79.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$17.27
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
21
Window
September 1, 2025 – November 30, 2025

The thesis — published September 1, 2025

Predicted growth
+35%
over the measurement window
Target price
$17.75
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$12.75 – $13.25
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$13.15
published September 1, 2025
Confidence
65%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Coeur is getting strong interest after reporting record cash made from its mines and higher output from a recent deal. Analysts raised their price goals on Sep 1, and late August trading showed lots more people are buying than usual. Because the price ran up fast, waiting for small pullbacks near the range is safer than chasing. Keep position sizes modest, as silver and gold names can move sharply over a few months.

Primary drivers

  • Record quarterly cash made and profit results beat what analysts expected
  • Analysts raised their price targets after the strong quarterly report
  • Higher production following a recent purchase adds volume and revenue potential
  • Price looks hot; better to wait for dips instead of buying after a fast run

How it played out

CDE: target reached in 21 days

Lyra published CDE at $13.15 on 2025-09-01 with 35% expected growth and a $17.75 target. The thesis pointed to record quarterly cash made, profit results above analyst expectations, raised analyst price targets, higher production after a recent purchase, and a fast price move that made pullbacks preferable to chasing.

Inside the window, CDE reached the target in 21 days. It later peaked at $23.62 on 2025-10-16, versus the $17.75 target, with a peak gain of 79.6%. It ended the window at $17.27. The thesis played out, and then more than played out.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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