Track record · closed signal

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) — closed signal from September 1, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 30, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

CSCO price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$68.31 Published $76.99 Target $76.53 Window close $79.63 Peak
$66.47 – $67.94Entry zone — fair-value band
$68.31Published — price the day we called it
$76.99Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$79.63Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$76.53Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 73 days.

Peak price
$79.63
peak on November 20, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+16.6%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$76.53
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
73
Window
September 1, 2025 – November 30, 2025

The thesis — published September 1, 2025

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$76.99
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$66.47 – $67.94
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$68.31
published September 1, 2025
Confidence
63%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Cisco looks set for a steady rise because buying interest is improving and the trend is getting healthier. Industry reports say the Security Service Edge market is growing around 23% per year, and Cisco is well placed to benefit. The stock has slightly beaten the S&P 500, and profits are expected to grow. Cybersecurity and zero trust spending tends to hold up, so consider adding on dips this quarter.

Primary drivers

  • Buying interest is improving and the price trend is getting healthier
  • Security Service Edge market is growing about 23% per year, aiding Cisco
  • The stock has been doing a bit better than the overall market lately
  • Companies keep spending on cybersecurity even when other items get cut

How it played out

CSCO: target reached in 73 days

Lyra published CSCO at $68.31 on 2025-09-01 with a short-term view for 14% growth. The thesis pointed to improving buying interest, a healthier price trend, Security Service Edge market growth of about 23% per year, recent relative strength, expected profit growth, and steady cybersecurity spending.

Inside the window, CSCO reached the $76.99 target in 73 days. The stock peaked at $79.63 on 2025-11-20, with a 16.6% gain. It ended the window at $76.53, below the target but still above the publication price. The published thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-11-12, Cisco reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of $14.88 billion and adjusted earnings of $1 per share. The company also raised its fiscal-year revenue outlook to $60.2 billion to $61 billion.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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