Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (HMY) — closed signal from September 1, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 30, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 18 days.
The thesis — published September 1, 2025
Harmony looks promising because business results and news are strong. In early September, FY25 net income rose 75% and MAC Copper got the green light, while firm gold prices lifted shares on Aug 30. Price trends are still catching up, so consider buying in steps after a clear turn appears. Copper adds a second engine, and strong gold could help over the next 3 months, but swings are likely, so be patient.
Primary drivers
- Profit for FY25 jumped 75%, showing the core business is improving.
- Approval for MAC Copper adds a new growth path beyond gold mining.
- Stronger gold prices can lift revenue and investor interest in the stock.
- Early signs of a turn up are there, but we want clearer proof before sizing up.
How it played out
HMY: target reached in 18 days
Lyra published HMY at $13.23 on 2025-09-01 with a short-term view. The thesis expected 26% growth toward $16.60. It pointed to FY25 profit rising 75%, approval for MAC Copper, stronger gold prices, and early signs of a turn up that still needed clearer proof.
Inside the window from 2025-09-01 to 2025-11-30, the stock reached the target in 18 days. It later peaked at $22.25 on 2025-10-16, a 68.2% gain. It ended at $19.66, still above the target. The thesis played out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
Share this receipt
A scored call, published before the outcome was known. Paste the link anywhere — it unfurls as the card above.
Read the next call before it closes.
This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.