Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from August 31, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 29, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 59 days.
The thesis — published August 31, 2025
Palantir's stock has dropped hard, but the business remains strong: sales rose 48 percent from last year, and a new deal with Fujitsu aims to bring its AIP product to more customers in Japan. If recent selling cools, the price could rebound quickly. For a 1-3 month plan, consider buying only if the price steadies around $154-$158, and keep risk small since the stock is expensive and opinions may stay shaky.
Primary drivers
- Sales rose 48% from last year, showing demand is strong and momentum building
- New Fujitsu deal should bring AIP to more customers and partners in Japan
- Price looks very beaten down, so a rebound could happen if selling eases
- High price tag versus profits may cap gains and add bumpy moves up
How it played out
PLTR: target reached in 59 days
Lyra published PLTR at $156.71 on 2025-08-31, with expected growth of 24% over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to sales up 48% from last year, a Fujitsu deal meant to widen use of its platform product in Japan, a beaten-down price, and the risk that a high price tag could limit gains.
Inside the window, PLTR reached a peak of $207.52 on 2025-11-03. That was above the $194.32 target, with a peak gain of 32.4%. The target was reached in 59 days. The stock ended the window at $168.45. The thesis played out.
What happened during the window
On 2025-11-03, Palantir reported third-quarter results. Investopedia reported revenue of $1.18 billion, up 63% year over year, and adjusted earnings per share of $0.21. The same report said Palantir raised its full-year revenue forecast to between $4.396 billion and $4.4 billion.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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