Track record · closed signal

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — closed signal from August 30, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 28, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

PLTR price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$156.71 Published $200.59 Target $168.45 Window close $207.52 Peak
$155.00 – $158.00Entry zone — fair-value band
$156.71Published — price the day we called it
$200.59Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$207.52Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$168.45Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 62 days.

Peak price
$207.52
peak on November 3, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+32.4%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$168.45
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
62
Window
August 30, 2025 – November 28, 2025

The thesis — published August 30, 2025

Predicted growth
+28%
over the measurement window
Target price
$200.59
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$155.00 – $158.00
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$156.71
published August 30, 2025
Confidence
61%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Palantir looks temporarily beaten down in a fast-moving AI story, which can set up a short bounce. But the trend is still weak, so we need proof before getting bolder. Media takes range from bubble worries to strong praise, and the stock is pricey versus profits. Use a small position first and only add if the price shows real strength over the next three months to avoid chasing a move that could fade.

Primary drivers

  • Oversold signals hint at a quick rebound, but it could be brief and choppy.
  • AI excitement keeps interest high and may help lift the share price.
  • High price tag sets big expectations and can make pullbacks sharper.
  • Wait for real strength before adding to help control potential losses.

How it played out

PLTR: target reached in 62 days

Lyra published PLTR at 156.71 on 2025-08-30 with an expected gain of 28%. The thesis pointed to a temporarily beaten-down stock that could get a short bounce, helped by artificial intelligence interest. It also warned that the trend was still weak, media views were split between bubble worries and praise, and the price was high versus profits.

Inside the window, PLTR reached the 200.59 target in 62 days. The peak was 207.52 on 2025-11-03, with a peak gain of 32.4%. It ended the window at 168.45. The thesis played out.

What happened during the window

On 2025-11-03, Palantir reported third-quarter revenue of $1.18 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $0.21. It also raised its full-year revenue outlook to $4.396 billion to $4.4 billion. MarketWatch also reported that the stock fell 4.3% in after-hours trading after the report.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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This is one signal, scored after the fact. Today’s picks come with the same plain-language thesis — published before anyone knows the outcome.

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