Track record · closed signal

AT&T Inc. (T) — closed signal from August 30, 2025

Partial Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 28, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

T price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$28.98 Published $32.68 Target $26.02 Window close $29.47 Peak
$28.39 – $28.88Entry zone — fair-value band
$28.98Published — price the day we called it
$32.68Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$29.47Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$26.02Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Partial

Reached 12% of the predicted growth at its peak, without hitting the target.

Peak price
$29.47
peak on September 15, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+1.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$26.02
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
—
Window
August 30, 2025 – November 28, 2025

The thesis — published August 30, 2025

Predicted growth
+14%
over the measurement window
Target price
$32.68
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$28.39 – $28.88
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$28.98
published August 30, 2025
Confidence
66%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

AT&T appears to have more buyers stepping in and the trend is improving. The recent average price is rising and trading is heavier than usual, matching a very strong score for returning cash to investors. A new Cisco deal for secure networking could lift business sales. The dividend and clearer trend may support a steady rise over the next 3 months, but rivals and heavy network spending still pose risks.

Primary drivers

  • Trend turning up as the recent average price points higher
  • More buying than usual, which is a constructive demand signal
  • Cisco-backed secure network service could boost business demand
  • Big dividend and buybacks may attract long-term investors

How it played out

T: the 14% target was not reached

Lyra published T at $28.98 on 2025-08-30 with a short-term thesis for 14% expected growth. The thesis pointed to an improving trend, heavier buying than usual, a Cisco-backed secure network service, and dividends and buybacks that could attract longer-term investors. It also noted rivals and heavy network spending as risks.

Inside the window, T peaked at $29.47 on 2025-09-15, a 1.7% gain. That stayed below the $32.68 target. It never got there. By 2025-11-28, the stock ended at $26.02. The thesis did not play out.

What happened during the window

On October 22, 2025, AT&T reported third-quarter adjusted earnings of 54 cents and revenue of $30.7 billion. The company also said it added 405,000 postpaid phone customers.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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