Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH) — closed signal from August 29, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 27, 2025.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 35 days.
The thesis — published August 29, 2025
- What we will do: - Watch news and online sales trend - Aim for a 0-3 month bounce - Start small; add if price makes higher lows - Use a tight exit plan This is a short-term idea driven by market mood with a bargain angle. Recent updates show online sales are 10.6% of total, which helps the story. The business is only okay, so we keep risk small and look for a normal snap-back toward typical levels, adding only if buying interest keeps improving.
Primary drivers
- Online sales are 10.6% of revenue, showing a steady shift to web shopping
- Shares look cheap on common profit measures used by value-focused investors
- Price hints at turning up, with the recent average price moving higher
- Improving trader mood could help the stock climb in the near term
How it played out
SBH: target reached in 35 days
Lyra published SBH at $13.73 on 2025-08-29 as a short-term bounce idea with expected growth of 20%. The thesis pointed to online sales at 10.6% of revenue, cheap profit measures, a recent average price moving higher, and improving trader mood. It also called for a small start and a tight exit plan.
Inside the window, the stock reached the $16.48 target in 35 days. It later peaked at $17.40 on 2025-11-13, a 26.7% gain. By 2025-11-27, it ended at $16.43, just below the target. The thesis played out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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