Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH) — closed signal from August 29, 2025
Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 27, 2025 — +19.7% at the close.
Predicted vs. what happened
What happened
Reached its target in 35 days.
The thesis — published August 29, 2025
- What we will do: - Watch news and online sales trend - Aim for a 0-3 month bounce - Start small; add if price makes higher lows - Use a tight exit plan This is a short-term idea driven by market mood with a bargain angle. Recent updates show online sales are 10.6% of total, which helps the story. The business is only okay, so we keep risk small and look for a normal snap-back toward typical levels, adding only if buying interest keeps improving.
Primary drivers
- Online sales are 10.6% of revenue, showing a steady shift to web shopping
- Shares look cheap on common profit measures used by value-focused investors
- Price hints at turning up, with the recent average price moving higher
- Improving trader mood could help the stock climb in the near term
How it played out
SBH: target reached in 35 days
Lyra published SBH at $13.73 on 2025-08-29 as a short-term bounce idea with expected growth of 20%. The thesis pointed to online sales at 10.6% of revenue, cheap profit measures, a recent average price moving higher, and improving trader mood. It also called for a small start and a tight exit plan.
Inside the window, the stock reached the $16.48 target in 35 days. It later peaked at $17.40 on 2025-11-13, a 26.7% gain. By 2025-11-27, it ended at $16.43, just below the target. The thesis played out.
Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.
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