Track record · closed signal

Kohl's Corporation (KSS) — closed signal from August 29, 2025

Target reached Published before the outcome was known, scored automatically when the window closed on November 27, 2025.

Predicted vs. what happened

KSS price · publication thesis → realized outcomesplit-adjusted
$15.32 Published $17.85 Target $23.97 Window close $24.78 Peak
$14.81 – $15.40Entry zone — fair-value band
$15.32Published — price the day we called it
$17.85Target — the price the thesis aimed for
$24.78Peak — highest point inside the window, not a realized return
$23.97Window close — end-of-window price, context only

What happened

Target reached

Reached its target in 19 days.

Peak price
$24.78
peak on November 26, 2025 — not a realized return
Peak gain
+61.7%
peak, from the publication price
Window close
$23.97
end-of-window price, context only
Days to target
19
Window
August 29, 2025 – November 27, 2025

The thesis — published August 29, 2025

Predicted growth
+18%
over the measurement window
Target price
$17.85
the price the thesis aimed for
Entry zone
$14.81 – $15.40
the fair-value band we waited for
Price at publication
$15.32
published August 29, 2025
Confidence
64%
how strongly the data lined up
Timeframe
Short-term (0–3 months)

Kohl's beat expectations, yet the stock slipped right after. Buying looks stronger than usual and the recent average price is turning up, hinting the trend may improve over the next 0-3 months. This is a short-term trade aiming for a move back toward pre-earnings prices. Risks stay high because shoppers are cautious and tariff headlines can pressure sales and profits.

Primary drivers

  • Quarterly profit beat gives a solid base for confidence in near-term price
  • Buying interest is stronger than usual and the recent average price is climbing
  • Investor mood is upbeat even after price swings, attracting short-term interest
  • Price looks low versus company value, making a move toward earlier levels likely

How it played out

KSS: target reached in 19 days

Lyra published KSS on Aug. 29, 2025 at $15.32, looking for 18% growth toward $17.85 over a short-term window. The thesis pointed to a quarterly profit beat, stronger buying interest, a climbing recent average price, upbeat investor mood after swings, and a price that looked low versus company value.

Inside the window, the stock reached the target in 19 days. It later peaked at $24.78 on Nov. 26, with a 61.7% peak gain, and ended the window at $23.97 on Nov. 27. The published thesis played out, and the move went well past the target.

What happened during the window

On Nov. 24, 2025, Kohl's named Michael J. Bender permanent chief executive after he had served as interim CEO. On Nov. 25, 2025, the company reported a third-quarter profit, higher-than-expected sales, and raised its full-year guidance.

Prices are shown split- and dividend-adjusted, matching what public charts show today.

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